CASELY

Best CS2 Cases to Open

Every case ranked by expected return per open — the real drop odds multiplied by live Steam market prices for every skin, wear, and StatTrak™ combination, including the case's own price plus the $2.49 key where one is required. Recomputed from prices as of 2026-08-08. Spoiler: every ROI is under 100% — the house always wins — but the gap between the best and worst case is huge.

#CaseCost / openExpected returnROI
1 Operation Wildfire Case $7.16 $6.08 84.9%
2 eSports 2013 Winter Case $23.20 $19.67 84.8%
3 Prisma Case $4.45 $3.33 74.9%
4 Chroma 3 Case $6.57 $4.67 71.0%
5 CS:GO Weapon Case 3 $20.23 $14.22 70.3%
6 Snakebite Case $3.11 $2.14 68.9%
7 Prisma 2 Case $4.32 $2.92 67.6%
8 Falchion Case $5.00 $3.37 67.5%
9 Shadow Case $5.16 $3.46 67.1%
10 Chroma 2 Case $7.89 $5.23 66.3%
11 Horizon Case $4.91 $3.19 65.1%
12 Chroma Case $9.35 $6.07 64.9%
13 Operation Vanguard Weapon Case $10.55 $6.77 64.2%
14 Fever Case $3.37 $2.16 64.0%
15 Gamma Case $6.72 $4.24 63.2%
16 Operation Broken Fang Case $10.63 $6.69 63.0%
17 CS20 Case $3.98 $2.48 62.4%
18 Gallery Case $3.60 $2.24 62.3%
19 eSports 2014 Summer Case $20.10 $12.36 61.5%
20 Revolver Case $6.45 $3.93 61.0%
21 Shattered Web Case $8.71 $5.24 60.2%
22 Winter Offensive Weapon Case $15.90 $9.53 59.9%
23 Operation Phoenix Weapon Case $8.07 $4.83 59.9%
24 Operation Hydra Case $48.56 $28.85 59.4%
25 Huntsman Weapon Case $15.03 $8.88 59.1%
26 Danger Zone Case $4.16 $2.38 57.2%
27 Glove Case $18.51 $10.18 55.0%
28 Recoil Case $2.90 $1.59 54.9%
29 CS:GO Weapon Case 2 $34.22 $18.27 53.4%
30 Spectrum Case $7.84 $4.12 52.6%
31 Revolution Case $2.79 $1.46 52.4%
32 Gamma 2 Case $6.89 $3.58 51.9%
33 CS:GO Weapon Case $139.69 $69.11 49.5%
34 Clutch Case $3.32 $1.64 49.3%
35 Dreams & Nightmares Case $4.11 $1.95 47.4%
36 Kilowatt Case $2.69 $1.25 46.6%
37 Spectrum 2 Case $6.89 $3.18 46.2%
38 Fracture Case $3.19 $1.42 44.4%
39 Operation Riptide Case $16.61 $7.32 44.1%
40 Operation Breakout Weapon Case $14.47 $6.21 42.9%
41 eSports 2013 Case $69.84 $25.26 36.2%
42 Operation Bravo Case $87.99 $28.11 32.0%

Expected return uses the published tier odds (79.92 / 15.98 / 3.20 / 0.64 / 0.26%), uniform item chance within a tier, the wear-bucket float distribution mapped to each skin's float caps, and a 10% StatTrak™ chance where supported. Prices are Steam listing prices — Steam keeps ~15% of any real sale, so real-money ROI is lower still. Offer terminals (Sealed Genesis / Dead Hand) are excluded: they sell purchase offers, not random drops, so per-open ROI doesn't apply. How the math works.