Best CS2 Cases to Open
Every case ranked by expected return per open — the real drop odds multiplied by live Steam market prices for every skin, wear, and StatTrak™ combination, including the case's own price plus the $2.49 key where one is required. Recomputed from prices as of 2026-09-06. Spoiler: every ROI is under 100% — the house always wins — but the gap between the best and worst case is huge.
| # | Case | Cost / open | Expected return | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  eSports 2013 Winter Case |
$22.96 | $19.66 | 85.6% |
| 2 |  Operation Wildfire Case |
$7.16 | $6.08 | 84.9% |
| 3 |  Prisma Case |
$4.45 | $3.26 | 73.2% |
| 4 |  Snakebite Case |
$3.11 | $2.14 | 68.8% |
| 5 |  Falchion Case |
$5.00 | $3.37 | 67.5% |
| 6 |  Shadow Case |
$5.26 | $3.46 | 65.8% |
| 7 |  Prisma 2 Case |
$4.33 | $2.85 | 65.8% |
| 8 |  Operation Vanguard Weapon Case |
$10.48 | $6.76 | 64.6% |
| 9 |  Horizon Case |
$4.95 | $3.19 | 64.4% |
| 10 |  Chroma 2 Case |
$8.19 | $5.23 | 63.9% |
| 11 |  Fever Case |
$3.38 | $2.16 | 63.8% |
| 12 |  Chroma Case |
$9.65 | $6.07 | 62.9% |
| 13 |  CS20 Case |
$3.96 | $2.48 | 62.7% |
| 14 |  Gallery Case |
$3.59 | $2.24 | 62.5% |
| 15 |  CS:GO Weapon Case 3 |
$22.84 | $14.21 | 62.2% |
| 16 |  Chroma 3 Case |
$7.52 | $4.67 | 62.1% |
| 17 |  Operation Hydra Case |
$46.50 | $28.78 | 61.9% |
| 18 |  Operation Broken Fang Case |
$10.84 | $6.69 | 61.7% |
| 19 |  Shattered Web Case |
$8.72 | $5.24 | 60.1% |
| 20 |  Huntsman Weapon Case |
$14.80 | $8.88 | 60.0% |
| 21 |  Operation Phoenix Weapon Case |
$8.10 | $4.83 | 59.6% |
| 22 |  eSports 2014 Summer Case |
$21.14 | $12.36 | 58.5% |
| 23 |  Gamma Case |
$7.29 | $4.24 | 58.2% |
| 24 |  Revolver Case |
$6.76 | $3.93 | 58.1% |
| 25 |  Winter Offensive Weapon Case |
$16.45 | $9.53 | 57.9% |
| 26 |  Danger Zone Case |
$4.15 | $2.37 | 57.1% |
| 27 |  Recoil Case |
$2.90 | $1.59 | 54.9% |
| 28 |  Glove Case |
$18.71 | $10.11 | 54.0% |
| 29 |  CS:GO Weapon Case 2 |
$33.89 | $18.26 | 53.9% |
| 30 |  Revolution Case |
$2.79 | $1.45 | 51.9% |
| 31 |  Spectrum Case |
$8.10 | $4.12 | 50.8% |
| 32 |  Gamma 2 Case |
$7.06 | $3.57 | 50.6% |
| 33 |  Clutch Case |
$3.33 | $1.62 | 48.7% |
| 34 |  CS:GO Weapon Case |
$144.75 | $69.12 | 47.7% |
| 35 |  Dreams & Nightmares Case |
$4.16 | $1.94 | 46.7% |
| 36 |  Kilowatt Case |
$2.69 | $1.25 | 46.6% |
| 37 |  Spectrum 2 Case |
$6.94 | $3.18 | 45.8% |
| 38 |  Fracture Case |
$3.20 | $1.42 | 44.3% |
| 39 |  Operation Riptide Case |
$16.92 | $7.32 | 43.3% |
| 40 |  Operation Breakout Weapon Case |
$14.58 | $6.21 | 42.6% |
| 41 |  eSports 2013 Case |
$69.70 | $25.25 | 36.2% |
| 42 |  Operation Bravo Case |
$86.86 | $28.11 | 32.4% |
Expected return uses the published tier odds (79.92 / 15.98 / 3.20 / 0.64 / 0.26%), uniform item chance within a tier, the wear-bucket float distribution mapped to each skin's float caps, and a 10% StatTrak™ chance where supported. Prices are Steam listing prices — Steam keeps ~15% of any real sale, so real-money ROI is lower still. Offer terminals (Sealed Genesis / Dead Hand) are excluded: they sell purchase offers, not random drops, so per-open ROI doesn't apply. How the math works.